Monday, November 21, 2011

Envisioning My Capstone Project

UNDER DEVELOPMENT

For my MS CSIT capstone project, I will be developing a product/prototype with the following attributes:

  • Innovative, technology-centered and global in outlook
  • Clear, sellable vision
  • Exciting and motivating for me
The knowledge and skills cultivated through this degree program that I wish to integrate in the capstone project are:
  1. Marketing
  2. Operating systems
  3. Artificial intelligence
  4. Organizational behavior
  5. Project management
  6. Fundamentals of business administration
  7. Database management (MySQL)
  8. Web scripting (PHP)
  9. Computer networking
  10. Software development (Android)
It makes sense to focus my capstone on developing a software application that runs on Android and web, and draws on a MySQL DB using AI tools. Integrate marketing concepts, autopoeisis, project management/business administration.

Other possible knowledge to integrate into the project: 
  • Psychology
  • Social media
  • Environmentalism/sustainability
  • Entertainment media
  • Brand management
Idea 1: Intelligent search agent operated from a mobile device that runs from the cloud or a remote device and  finds/organizes/presents information according to your needs. Should also be able to track trends. An example of one application for this would be following the performance and activities of companies on the stock market. Another example would be using it as a research tool to investigate a myriad of possible targets.

Idea 2: Web site and Android app that allow a user to input details about a room or building and receive back a feng shui report on the space complete with suggestions on how to improve the flow of qi with harmonizing colors and objects.




Chapter 9: Strategy Outline



Strategy comes from the integration of all the concepts in the course and is the key to successful business.


·         Steps for strategy
o   Define a vision (revisit, revise and agree upon)
o   SWOT analysis
§  Strengths and weaknesses internal, opportunities and threats external
§  Some non-profit and governmental entities use “Challenges” rather than “Threats” – model is SWOC
o   Define outcomes and processes
§  How do you know if you have achieved your strategies?
·         Should  be measurable
·         Strategic Planning
o   Three levels of strategy
§  Functional level – how can we improve the operation (efficiency, value to customer, etc.)?
§  Business level – how can we beat the competition?
·         Management-level decisions
§  Corporate – what business should we be in?
·         Board-level decisions
o   There are no perfect answers
o   It’s not easy to experiment
o   Errors are usually costly
o   Seven “S” model to generate strategies (Tom Peters, McKinsey)
§  Tool to help solve complex problems by analyzing and improving organizations
§  Each S should support the others
§  Take a company and analyze it:
·         Shared values (core)
·         Strategy (hard)
o   This is the strategic planning process, not a recursive reference to the strategy itself.
·         Structure (hard)
·         Systems (hard)
·         Skills (soft)
·         Style (soft)
·         Staff (soft)
§  For each of these look at ways to improve or come up with a new strategy.
§  Example: Apple uses a matrix structure (products along horizontal, functional areas along vertical creates a responsibility matrix)
·         Apple keeps high profit portion internal and outsources areas of lower profit, but also functions that are not part of their mission or core values.
§  Innovative companies should have a mechanism to bring a new product to market
·         Otherwise just like Foxcom
·         Often this role is the CEO or some internal committee
o   Mission statements
§  Include values, vision and purpose
·         Single-minded, narrow and concise, focused on a worthwhile goal.
·         Personal mission
o   Value Chain (Porter 1985)
§  Important analysis tool
·         Overhead
o   Firm infrastructure
o   HRM
o   Technology Development
o   Procurement
·         Primary activities
o   Inbound logistics
§  How you get materials into your store
o   Operations
§  How do you produce your product
o   Outbound logistics
§  Delivery to customer
o   Marketing and sales
o   Service
§  Allows you to provide value after the sale
·         Each step in the value chain can add value and facilitate higher price. Value to the customer, dollars to the company.
o   Expansion strategy (Ansoff Matrix)
§  2x2 strategy matrix New versus Exsiting Markets and Products
o   Five Forces Analysis (Michael Porter 1979)
§  Five forces that shape industry competition
·         Threat of new entrants
o   Limit entry of new competitors
·         Bargaining power of buyers
·         Threat of substitute products or services
o   Make your product unique to reduce the impact of substitutes
·         Bargaining power of suppliers
·         Rivalry among existing competitors
§  Use this to analyze the environment before entering a business.
§  BofA no longer a US company, moved to Cayman Islands – this is when they rebranded and included the US flag in their logo.
o   Growth-Share Matrix (Bruce Henderson, Boston Consulting Group 1968)
§  Stars (high growth, high market share)
·         Prioritize these
·         Google, Facebook
§  Cow (low growth, high market share)
·         Invest in these
·         Utilities (PG&E, Comcast)
§  Dog (low growth, low market share)
·         Sell these
·         Book store
§  ? (high growth, low market share)
·         Evaluate further and either build market share (to create a star) or divest
o   Globalization
§  Of fortune 500 most have >25% overseas business
§  Enhancers of globalization
·         Better communication and transportation
·         Fewer trade restrictions
·         Convergence of consumer needs
§  Roadblocks to globalization
·         Cost of coordination
·         Geographic restraints
·         Protectionism
§  Consider these topics when evaluating globalization


Sunday, November 6, 2011

Chapter 8: Economics Outline



·         Supply and demand
o   Economics studies how society allocates the limited resources of the earth to the needs of humans. Supply and demand are the forces at work.
o   Equilibrium – the market price allows the quantity supplied to equal the quantity demanded.
·         Microeconomics
o   The supply and demand equation of individuals, families, companies and industries.
§  Opportunity costs
·         Cost of the decision to produce or not produce
§  Marginal utility
·         Usefulness of having an additional unit of product
§  Marginal revenue and cost
·         Revenue and cost from marginal production (adding “just one more”)
·         When marginal revenue is equal to marginal cost, you should not make the deal.
·         Elasticity
o   If consumers are sensitive to price changes, their demand is elastic.
o   When consumers are not sensitive to prices, economists call their demand inelastic.
o   To quantify elasticity, an elasticity coefficient is used:
§  Elasticity of quantity demanded = % change in quantity demanded / % change in price
§  Elasticity of total revenue = % change in total revenue / % change in price
§  Greater than 1 is considered elastic
·         Market structures
o   Monopoly – one seller with a unique product
§  Strong brand, innovation, special design, legal/regulation, patent/copyright
o   Oligopoly – only a few sellers
o   Monopolistic competition – many sellers but products are somewhat different
o   Pure competition – many sellers selling equivalent products.
·         Macroeconomics
o   Inflation
§  A little inflation it creates jobs because it promotes spending money today.
o   Monetary policy tools
§  Discount rate versus Prime Rate versus Consumer rate
·         Discount rate – borrowing rate between banks
·         Prime rate – lowest lending rate to most trustworthy consumers
·         Consumer rate – range of rates paid by consumers from prime rate to much more
§  Government securities (Treasury bonds)
§  Reserve requirement
·         How much banks must reserve to guarantee their accounts
·         Keynesian and Monetarist theory
       o   John Maynard Keynes felt that judicious and timely government intervention could have a stabilizing and beneficia effect on the economy.
       o   Milton Friedman believed in the power of the market to heal itself and that government regulation had done more harm than good.
·         Gross National Product (GNP) accounting
       o   GNP - total market value of all final goods and services produced by an economy in a year.      
       §  Changes in GNP are used as a measure of the health of an economy.
       §  Real GNP is GNP adjusted for inflation, nominal GNP is unadjusted.
International macroeconomics
       o   Balance of payment accounting - cash flow statement for a nation
       o   Country analysis:
       §  Analyze past performance
       §  Identify the country's strategy
       §  Analyze the country's context
       §  Make a prediction based on 1, 2, and 3.

Chapter 7: Operations Outline



·         Operations research, operations analysis, management science, analytics, OR, industrial engineering, supply chain management
·         What is OR?
o   Uses advance analytical methods such as mathematical modeling, statistical analysis, and mathematical optimization to arrive at optimal or near-optimal solutions to complex decision making problems. It is often concerned with determining the maximum or minimum of some real-world objective.
o   It is the only subject in MBA that focuses on producing a product or service.
·         Five questions to diagnose and solve operational problems:
o   Capacity
§  What is the maximum production in a given period of time?
§  Six ‘M’s could be a bottleneck:
·         Methods
o   Continuous – high volume, standardized process (no customization)
o   Assembly line – series of workstations, less continuous, must coordinate outputs of each process to maximize efficiency
o   Job shop – set up for flexibility and many different tasks done by a single person
o   Mass customization – popular in the early 2000, use IT (CRM) to facilitate customized elements in a continuous production model
·         Material
·         Manpower
·         Machinery
·         Money
·         Messages (communication and information)
§  Diagnosing capacity problems with flow diagrams
·         Throughputs
·         Linear programming: dealing with capacity constraints
o   Scheduling
§  What are the steps to take and fulfill the order and and how long does each take?
§  Gantt Chart helps track timeline and dependencies (Henry Gantt)
·         Critical Path Method (CPM) and Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT)
§  Queuing Theory
·         How long will the customer wait?
·         If we add another worker, how much shorter will the line be?
·         Given: A = Average number of random arrivals per unit of time; S = Average number of services provided per channel per unit of time; M = number of available channels
o   Utilization factor of the system = A/MS
o   Average # Waiting = Total Number in Line – (A/S)
o   Expected Waiting Time in Line = Average # Waiting / A
·         In the ‘80s studies showed that a single line is more efficient than multiple lines, this was proved by queuing theory.
o   Inventory
§  What supplies need to be on-hand to produce the product?
·         Three types of inventory (Raw, Work in progress, Finished goods)
·         Reasons you keep inventory
o   Pipeline – minimize production delay
o   Cycle – avoid ordering too many times (eliminate additional delivery costs)
o   Safety – prevent shortage
o   Anticipatory and speculative (best price)
·         Hot topic of supply chain management
o   In high tech companies this is particularly important because the component can become obsolete very quickly and lose value, plus there are many components and international challenges due to globalization; makes this a science.
§  Just in time (JIT) inventory management
o   Standards and Quality
§  What constitutes standards and a quality experience?
§  Quality
·         Best in the market or meets expectations?
·         How do you control quality?
o   One sigma quality = 68% of products are between upper and lower limits
o   Six sigma quality = 3.4/10^6 defects
·         Quality is free. (Philip Crosby)
o   If you produce poor quality you lose customers and have to spend to correct quality issues. Upfront quality is better in the long run. Zero defects as ultimate goal.
·         Poor quality is a crime. (Genichi Taguchi)
o    Making poor products worse than a thief. A thief redistributes existing wealth, but everyone loses when poor-quality products are made.
o   Control and communication
§  How do you manage controls and communication?
§  Benchmarking – compare to industry performance standards
·         Historical Concepts in Operations
o   Fred Taylor: measurement of steel workers
§  Dehumanizing
o   Frank and Lillian Gilbert: broke complex processes down to simple components
§  Cheaper by the dozen
o   Elton Mayo: Hawthorne effect
§  Showed that researcher interest increases worker productivity, intensity of the light made negligible difference; makes observation very difficult
o   Theory X, Y
§  A nasty boss and a nice boss employee performance will increase because they know they are being measured. A boss who does not provide feedback will reduce productivity.
§  Theory X – control the employee and micromanage; more common in manufacturing
§  Theory Y – be nice to the employee and they will perform for you; this is the model most common in Silicon Valley
o   Theory Z
§  It depends on the nature of the people and the nature of jobs
·         Hot Topics
o   Information Technology
§  Customer Relationship Management (CRM)
·         Product development
·         Sales
·         Customer experience
·         Retension
·         Targeting and marketing